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Presentation
Discussion: Many
pit traders are continuously in long or short positions much of
their day, ‘Always-In’.
On the other hand electronic day traders often spend much
of their day out of the market waiting and watching for that
‘right and valid’ entry to a ‘high probability’ trade
that will hopefully be one of the more profitable ones.
Three years ago Bill asked himself the question, can a
pit trader style, Always-In, rule based, daytrading methodology
be developed that will ensure being ‘in’ when the profitable
trades occur, especially the highly profitable ones?
For this he knew he needed entry/exit rules to remain
‘in’ long or short a high percentage of the time—including
routine reversals—along with effective rules for managing both
the winners and losers.
After
more than 10,000 hours of development and evaluation, mostly
day-in day-out real-time trade logging, simulator trading and
real trading, his answer is yes.
For many months as a moderator in FuturesTalk he’s been
describing Always-In features, posting trades every trading day
in real or near real-time for others to evaluate, and for the
past few months publishing a log of all available trades for the
Russell 2000 and Euro currency futures.
This has met with high praise from FuturesTalk members.
Always-In involves the use of trading approaches
regularly taught in FuturesTalk combined with uniquely added
support/resistance breakout filters, the now famous pink lines,
that provide the potential for both an exceptional win/loss
ratio and minimal draw downs.
It is founded on a principle, an assertion,
and a belief system, all interrelated and built into a trading
plan.
The principle
is that no matter what filters you use for entries in rule-based
daytrading, you must ‘catch’ some highly profitable trades
to significantly offset your losers and to do so you must enter
a ‘sufficient’ number of trades—accepted by most traders
but almost never taken to the limit of Always-In.
The assertion is that the accepted mantra of
‘letting winners run and keeping losers small’ requires a
definitive, easy to apply trade/money management scheme that
overcomes any sabotaging effects of ‘trader
psychology’—advocated by most traders but seldom set forth
in any detail, the Always-In work-in-progress scheme is central
for optimizing win/loss. The
belief system is the very heart of a trading
methodology—a major differentiator of traders largely ignored
or ill-defined but not so in this methodology.
From these foundations a complete methodology evolved
with trading tools defined along with rules and guidelines for
their use in trade entries, exits and management all of which
constitute the core elements of the Always-In trading plan.
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